September 08, 2011

I hope you enjoyed your Labor Day. Historically this uniquely American holiday, which heralds the end of summer and beginning of fall, also marks the start of political campaign season. Generally speaking most candidates make their final decisions to run and officially crank up their operations for the following year’s campaigns on Labor Day. This is the case with next year’s presidential campaign. All the players are on board. The horses are at the gate. The bell has rung. They are off to the races.

At this point there are some also rans in the race but they will quickly be culled and you will only have the thoroughbreds left for the final lap. Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee. The big question is who will carry the GOP banner into the battle next fall.
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September 01, 2011

As we approach Labor Day many of you will look forward to cookouts and the last hurrah of summer activities and celebrations. Historically Labor Day has marked the beginning of campaign season. As the summer heat diminishes the political heat escalates.

Harry Truman coined the phrase, “If you can’t stand the heat then get out of the kitchen.” Give ‘em Hell, Harry was written off by the pundits on Labor Day of 1947. However, he proved them all wrong in November of 1948. He beat the Republican Thomas Dewey even with one hand tied behind him when the reliably Democratic solid South bolted and voted for the Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond.
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August 26, 2011

Last week I chronicled the amazing transformation of the makeup of our congressional delegation over the last 50 years. In 1961 all eleven of our senators and congressmen were all white male Democrats. Today eight out of nine of our members of congress are Republican and two of our members are females. Let us compare their paths to power to the 1961 group.

Our senior senator, Richard Shelby, is identical to the group of yesteryear. He is practically a carbon copy and may have even been aware of this traditional path. His career perfectly replicates the earlier era.
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August 19, 2011

The political picture of Alabama 50 years ago was quite different from the one you see today. In 1961 we were on the cusp of beginning a decade of turmoil and political strife. The 1960’s were dominated by George Wallace and the race issue. The early fall of 1961 was the quiet before the storm. Bear Bryant won his first national championship that fall. John Kennedy was president. Our entire congressional delegation was made up of all Democrats.

Fast forward 50 years and what a sea change. Not only has our delegation on the Potomac been completely reversed on a partisan page, so has the entire Deep South. In 1961 all eleven of our members of congress were all white male Democrats. Today eight out of nine of our senators and congressmen are Republicans. In addition, two of our nine members are female and one of the females is an African American.
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August 12, 2011

Legislators must redraw congressional lines every 10 years after the census to equalize populations in each district. Every state in the union is required to have their new district lines drawn prior to next year’s congressional elections. While most states are in the throes of addressing congressional redistricting, Alabama is not one of them. Ours is done and ready for the 2012 elections. Alabama’s new Republican majority legislature saved the state about $500,000 by addressing congressional reapportionment in the regular session instead of in a special session, which most states require.
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August 05, 2011

Last week I shared with you some observations from the gambling trial playing out in Montgomery. This week I would like to further elaborate on the amazing lack of evidence the prosecution has offered against most of the defendants. Ironically, the taped conversations offered by the young inexperienced prosecution team flown in from Washington often exonerate the defendants rather than incriminating them.

The perfect example of this backfiring occurred in the prosecution’s attempt to implicate former State Senator Jim Preuitt. It is a well known fact among Goat Hill observers that Jim Preuitt is a wealthy self-made man with a quiet, reserved and thoughtful demeanor. When the indictments were handed down the media seized on the sensational accusation that Preuitt had been offered and accepted a million dollar bribe. My first impression was that this seemed ludicrous. Knowing Jim Preuitt very well, I knew that he would not accept a bribe and, furthermore, he did not need a million dollars.
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July 29, 2001

The sensational political gambling trial continues to play out in Montgomery. The scene is analogous to a theater production. The show is a blend of Broadway and Hollywood that resembles a movie based on a John Grisham novel.

As the trial drones on in the Frank M. Johnson, Jr. Federal Courthouse, it is apparent that as predicted it will last at least three months. It began on June 6 and has now been playing for eight weeks. We are only at about intermission. It will probably not close until after Labor Day.
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July 22, 2011

Next year is a big year in national politics. It is a presidential election year. The candidates are beginning to lineup. They will be testing the waters in early primary and battleground states.

President Obama will be the Democratic nominee. He can be defeated if the Republicans select a moderate as their nominee. Obama won because of the economy in 2008. The economy is still in the doldrums. Therefore, he could lose. If you live by the economy you will die by the economy.

Alabama and our sister deep south states have never gotten too excited about presidential politics. It is probably because we have never been a factor. For 84 years, from 1880 to 1964, we voted automatically Democratic. Since 1964 we have voted reliably Republican. Therefore, it is a foregone conclusion that we will vote for the Republican nominee for president.
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July 15, 2011

As late as 20 years ago Alabama was known as the worst state in America to do business in when it came to lawsuits. We were considered a wild west everything goes frontier to garnish outlandish judgments from any corporation doing business within our borders. It was truly a jackpot justice system that was almost comical if it were not so devastating. We were the subject of national business magazines, which chronicled the examples of ludicrous judgments that read like a comic book. The National Enquirer could not even compete fictionally with our factual examples of bizarre justice. Time Magazine referred to us on their cover as America’s “Tort Hell.”

The business community in Alabama and throughout the nation decided to remedy this situation. They put their money where their mouth was and decisively began to outspend the plaintiff trial lawyers who had gotten rich off of the situation. They began this effort in the 1990’s and outspent the trial lawyers by a 5 to 1 margin.
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July 08, 2011

There is a time honored maxim that says power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. It is a fact that the Republican Party is the dominant party in Alabama. We are now a totally red state from our choices for the White House to who represents us in the halls of the nation’s capitol. On the state level our choices for governor and all six of our other constitutional offices as well as eight out of nine of our State Supreme Court justices are Republicans. Now our legislature is also predominantly Republican.

This Republican mandate has been established for probably the foreseeable future. The question is will it be corrupt because it is total? From a party standpoint probably not. We have always been basically a no party state. We were a no party state when we were all Democratic and we will be a no party state now that the GOP rules. We do not get too excited about party politics. Personality has always been larger than party in Alabama and indeed throughout southern politics.
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