May 27, 2009
The 2009 Legislative Session is now history. It was basically a carbon copy of the previous two of this quadrennium. It could be rated a little better because it did not end with a fist fight and the budgets were passed. Although there was more activity and some legislation actually passed, most of the high profile issues failed.
The two state budgets were easier to craft because there is very little money. In lean years there is very little discretion and less room for contention. As in the past six years, the Democratic Legislature essentially ignored the Republican Governor’s budget and initiatives. The Governor’s proposed ethics overhaul never saw the light of day. It did not even get addressed by a legislative committee until the waning days of the Session.
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May 20, 2009
Politics never ends in Alabama. The Governor’s Race every four years is the brass ring and the speculation as to who will run and who will win starts early. The jockeying has begun and so has the handicapping of the favorites by the political insiders in Montgomery.
Let me share with you a theory and indeed a trend that portends victory in the Alabama Governor’s Race. Over the last 20 years, the key to victory is to avoid a tough bruising intra party struggle for your party’s nomination.
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May 13, 2009
As late as 1982, when I was first elected to the Legislature, almost everybody ran as a Democrat. There were only a handful of Republicans and they came from wealthy suburban enclaves of Mountain Brook in Birmingham, Spring Hill in Mobile, or the silk-stocking neighborhoods of Montgomery. They would simply align with the majority, who were conservative Democrats.
If truth were known, the vast majority of those conservative Democrats were closet Republicans. If the voting curtain was exposed you would see that these Democrats probably voted Republican for President. Therefore, there were no partisan fights or controversies. Instead, you were either a pro business conservative or a progressive and referred to as a real Democrat. Your alliance was determined more by which special interest group you aligned with rather than by party.
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May 06, 2009
Next year will be a big election year in Alabama with all the constitutional offices and the entire legislature on the ballot. It will be especially interesting with an open Governor’s race. It will also be an important watershed year because of the census.
Our constitution calls for there to be a headcount every decade. This census is to ensure that all Americans and all Alabamians are accounted for and given equal representation in Congress and the Legislature. Each congressional and legislative seat is required to have the same number of people with very little deviation. The census takers will be out taking the count during 2010 while the elections are being conducted. Therefore, the redistricting or reapportionment of the legislative and congressional districts will not be redrawn until after the census figures are taken.
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April 29, 2009
The federal stimulus spending package is manna from heaven for the Alabama Legislature. Alabama, along with every other state, is facing the bleakest and most ominous financial shortfall since the Great Depression. States like California and New York, which do not have constitutional provisions prohibiting deficit spending like we do in Alabama, are facing Armageddon. The Obama/Democratic stimulus bill will rescue legislators from a catastrophic nightmare when trying to craft a budget for the 2010 fiscal year.
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April 22, 2009
The decision by Jim Folsom Jr. to run for reelection as Lt. Governor, rather than seeking to be promoted to Governor, is having a domino effect on the 2010 elections. As we speak, there is a shuffling and realignment going on among both parties’ aspirants in next year’s races.
The players are beginning to enter the stage, but maybe in a different costume or robe than initially planned. The lineup will be primarily complete within the next two months as fundraising can begin in mid June. The period from July to January will be like spring training and fall practice preparing for the political season of 2010.
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April 15, 2009
The bombshell announcement by Jim Folsom, Jr. that he will opt to run for reelection as Lt. Governor, rather than make the plunge into the Governor’s race, reveals a pivotal piece of the 2010 election puzzle. It clears the field and reshapes the deck. It also opens the floodgate. You will now see the field begin to take shape over the next two months.
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April 08, 2009
Next year will be a big year for Alabama politics. Besides the Governor’s race, all of the other constitutional offices are up for grabs. In addition, all of the 67 sheriffs and 140 members of the Legislature are elected. It is a much bigger year for Alabama voters than a Presidential year.
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April 01, 2009
An issue has arisen during the past month that has moved to the head of the class so to speak when it comes to hot potato issues. It is one that needs addressing and is now issue number one on the minds of a good many middle class, hardworking, taxpaying Alabamians. They want their state government to make good on a promise they believe was made to them.
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March 25, 2009
As the aspirants for the 2010 Governor’s race begin gearing up for the challenge, one of the initial endeavors they will embark is a Benchmark poll. This first test will cost them or their supporters a little money. Polling is not cheap, especially if it is done by a reputable pollster. To their dismay or chagrin they will discover that very few Alabamians know who they are.
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